Oscar/Bafta/Globe Winners in BP/BD nominees (* NY winner): 10 Firth*/Portman, 09 Mo’Nique*/Waltz*, 08 Winslet, 07 Day-Lewis*/Bardem*, 06 Mirren*, 05 PSH, 04 Foxx, 02 Kidman, 01 Connelly, 00 Del Toro*/Roberts
96 Rush*, 93 Hunter*, 92 Thompson*/Hackman*, 91 Foster*, 87 Dukakis, 84 Ashcroft/Ngor, 82 Kingsley*, 77 Keaton*, 76 Finch, 75 Nicholson*/Fletcher, 72 Minnelli, 71 Hackman*/Johnson*, 67 Steiger*, 66 Scofield*, 57 Guinness*, 55 Borgnine*, 54 Brando*, 53 Audrey Hepburn*
Before their categories existed at the Baftas, Oscar/Globe/NY winners in BP/BD nominees: 49 Crawford/Havilland, 48 Olivier, 45 Milland, 44 Fitzgerald
More helping factors: Audrey won Tony & Oscar within days of each other because she’s amazing. Winslet is the only performer who outright won 2 movie Golden Globes on the same day, and The Reader has the only Oscar-nominated lead who won the Bafta outright against its portrayer in another role. Mirren won a movie & a TV Globe (as did someone else who lost the Oscar/Emmy) and was a dual Oscar & Emmy winner subsequently. Hunter won her Oscar & Emmy in a similar time frame and was a double Oscar nominee that year. Fitzgerald is the only person nominated lead and supporting for the same role in a film. On his last nom, DDL lost as the frontrunner. Olivier was on nom 4/10 and was a BD nominee for the same film; given Hamlet’s rep and his as the Shakespeare guy, fitting. Brando was on his 4th consecutive bid. Finch won posthumously. Scofield won a Tony for the role. Foxx had a double nom. Winslet, Mirren, and DDL each also have 2 movie Sags.
2006 Best Actress is the only perfect precursor predicted lineup. The closest Actor lineup is 1979; 4/5 Oscar with Globe/Bafta, with the 5th being a Globe comedy loser. The best supporting actress one is 98 w/4 consensus and the Oscars going with Sag’s Griffifths over Globes’ Stone, though 1966 is the only GG/Oscar agreement.
Sup actor is the weakest; the most interesting is 2007 – 3 Bafta noms went to Oscar w/another getting into lead; same w/Sag exc 4; 4/5 Globe. This was basically so the old men could honor the old men better; the last lead slot looked like it was a fight among 3 young men, so the Academy bumped up old Jones who could have siphoned votes from his frontrunner co-star into lead. They were thus able to fit in old nomless veteran Holbrook in sup (over the lead frontrunner’s young supporting actor).
The weird Sag Awards era year for females was 2003; instead of Wood or Johansson in breakouts (leaving the BP field w/o any nommed female lead), Oscar went for previous nominee Morton out of nowhere. And rather than going for Bello’s 1st nom they went for Aghdashloo’s since the latter’s film was in for lead actor previous winner Kingsley, and rather than Mystic River’s previous nominee Linney they got Mystic River’s previous winner Gay Harden.
Since introducing supporting categories, only once has a lead category had all new nominees: 1970 Actress. Previous nominees who were contenders: Dunaway, Mercouri.
Aside from the weird 94, all previous nominees in Actress were 3 years in 40s: 48, 44, 41. All inc Stanwyck, 2 each for Bergman/Havilland/Davis/Garson. As for males, 3 years in 6 years: 75, 79, 80 which includes Pacino/Lemmonx2, Nicholson/Hoffman/De Niro/O’Toole. Dreyfuss, Woods/Sheen, and Sutherland could’ve come in. No supporting. So it’s largely a matter of a bunch of Oscar T10 All-Time Favorites (for their respective genders) working during the same time period.
Upon establishing a set 5 directing nominees, all previous nominees were in 38/50 while all new nominees were in 48/95/97. Though 97’s BP nominee As Good as it Gets was by a BD winner.
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